RSI Divergence
RSI divergence is when price and the Relative Strength Index disagree: price makes a new low or high that RSI does not confirm, which is read as momentum fading behind the move.
Across 191 scored detections, the RSI Divergence moved the way it predicts relative to SPY 52% of the time over the next 20 trading days, with a mean excess return of +1.79%. A coin flip scores about 50%.
34 symbols in our coverage universe have a recorded RSI Divergence detection history. ALB has formed it most often — 7 times.
How to identify RSI divergence
- Bullish divergence: price makes a lower low while RSI makes a higher low.
- Bearish divergence: price makes a higher high while RSI makes a lower high.
- Compare swing points — clear highs and lows — rather than individual bars.
- Divergences near oversold (below 30) or overbought (above 70) readings are generally given more weight.
Is RSI divergence bullish or bearish?
Both. Bullish divergence forms at lows and points to a possible turn upward; bearish divergence forms at highs and points to a possible turn downward. Each recent detection on this page is labelled with its direction.
Price target
RSI divergence has no measured-move target. It warns that momentum is fading; it does not time the turn. Traders usually wait for price to confirm, for example by breaking a recent swing high or a trendline.
When the pattern fails
Divergence can persist in a strong trend: RSI can stay diverged through several new highs or lows while price keeps going. It fails when price continues in the original direction and RSI follows it.
How has this setup performed historically?
| Window | Occurrences | Win rate vs SPY | Mean excess return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days | 264 | 46% | -0.01% |
| 20 days | 191 | 52% | 1.79% |
| 60 days | 112 | 53% | 3.79% |
20-day figures: 191 settled signals detected from 2026-02-13, scored through 2026-10-29; 87 more still inside the window. Every one is listed in the track record.
Win rate = share of occurrences where the stock beat SPY over the window in the direction the signal predicted — for a bearish setup, a win means it underperformed. Measured on our own detections, which puts the coin-flip line at 50%. Sample sizes are small; treat these as context, not as an edge.
Recent RSI Divergence detections
From our daily published list over the past 12 months, newest first. Past detections, not recommendations — open a symbol for its chart and current status.
| Symbol | Direction | Detected | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR | Bullish | 2026-10-29 | Status & history → |
| PCAR | Bullish | 2026-10-28 | Status & history → |
| T | Bullish | 2026-10-28 | Status & history → |
| T | Bullish | 2026-10-26 | Status & history → |
| CMG | Bullish | 2026-10-20 | Status & history → |
| CMG | Bullish | 2026-10-19 | Status & history → |
| MGM | Bullish | 2026-10-19 | Status & history → |
| CMG | Bullish | 2026-10-16 | Status & history → |
| MGM | Bullish | 2026-10-16 | Status & history → |
| CPRT | Bullish | 2026-10-14 | Status & history → |
US stocks that have formed the RSI Divergence most often
Counts are past detections by our scanner, not signals firing today. Follow a symbol through to its own page for the current reading.
Frequently asked questions
- What is bullish RSI divergence?
- Price makes a lower low but RSI makes a higher low. Selling is pushing price down with less momentum than before, which is read as a possible bottom forming.
- What is the difference between regular and hidden divergence?
- Regular divergence, described here, points to a possible reversal. Hidden divergence — price makes a higher low while RSI makes a lower low, or the reverse at highs — is read as a sign the existing trend will continue.
- What is the difference between RSI divergence and MACD divergence?
- Both compare price with momentum. RSI is bounded between 0 and 100 and reacts quickly; MACD is built from moving averages and is unbounded, so its divergences tend to reflect longer swings.
- What is the success rate of RSI divergence?
- Across 191 scored detections, the RSI Divergence moved the way it predicts relative to SPY 52% of the time over the next 20 trading days, with a mean excess return of +1.79%. A coin flip scores about 50%.
Further reading
Other patterns
Pattern Vista is a technical-analysis research tool. Everything on this page is automated pattern detection and historical statistics published for educational purposes. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and past performance does not indicate future results. Full disclaimer