Bearish Supertrend
Our Supertrend + ADX detector uses ATR period 10, multiplier 3 and ADX period 14. It flags a session when ADX moves from below 25 to above 25. Price above the Supertrend line gives a bullish label; price below gives a bearish label. A direction change in the Supertrend line is not required. These are trend-strength events, not a list of all stocks currently in an uptrend or downtrend. Historical results describe this detection rule and do not establish a trading strategy.
Across 245 scored detections, the Bearish Supertrend moved the way it predicts relative to SPY 52% of the time over the next 20 trading days, with a mean excess return of +0.24%. A coin flip scores about 50%.
18 symbols in our coverage universe have a recorded Bearish Supertrend detection history. LULU has formed it most often — 6 times.
How has this setup performed historically?
| Window | Occurrences | Win rate vs SPY | Mean excess return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days | 288 | 52% | 0.12% |
| 20 days | 245 | 52% | 0.24% |
| 60 days | 123 | 54% | 0.53% |
20-day figures: 245 settled signals detected from 2026-02-13, scored through 2026-10-29; 73 more still inside the window. Every one is listed in the track record.
Win rate = share of occurrences where the stock beat SPY over the window in the direction the signal predicted — for a bearish setup, a win means it underperformed. Measured on our own detections, which puts the coin-flip line at 50%. Sample sizes are small; treat these as context, not as an edge.
Recent Bearish Supertrend detections
From our daily published list over the past 12 months, newest first. Past detections, not recommendations — open a symbol for its chart and current status.
| Symbol | Direction | Detected | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | Bearish | 2026-10-29 | Status & history → |
| GL | Bearish | 2026-10-28 | Status & history → |
| GLW | Bearish | 2026-10-27 | Status & history → |
| NBIS | Bearish | 2026-10-26 | Status & history → |
| FIX | Bearish | 2026-10-23 | Status & history → |
| LRCX | Bearish | 2026-10-23 | Status & history → |
| CRWV | Bearish | 2026-10-22 | Status & history → |
| AMAT | Bearish | 2026-10-21 | Status & history → |
| STX | Bearish | 2026-10-20 | Status & history → |
| WDC | Bearish | 2026-10-16 | Status & history → |
US stocks that have formed the Bearish Supertrend most often
Counts are past detections by our scanner, not signals firing today. Follow a symbol through to its own page for the current reading.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the success rate of the Bearish Supertrend pattern?
- Across 245 scored detections, the Bearish Supertrend moved the way it predicts relative to SPY 52% of the time over the next 20 trading days, with a mean excess return of +0.24%. A coin flip scores about 50%.
Further reading
Other patterns
Pattern Vista is a technical-analysis research tool. Everything on this page is automated pattern detection and historical statistics published for educational purposes. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and past performance does not indicate future results. Full disclaimer