Ascending Triangle Break
An ascending triangle is a bullish chart pattern characterized by a horizontal upper trendline and a rising lower trendline. This pattern suggests that buying pressure is increasing as the price makes higher lows. The horizontal resistance level indicates a strong selling pressure at that price point, while the rising support level shows that buyers are stepping in to prevent the price from falling below a certain level. A breakout above the upper trendline is considered a bullish signal, indicating that the price is likely to continue its upward trend.
Across 22 scored detections, the Ascending Triangle Break moved the way it predicts relative to SPY 32% of the time over the next 20 trading days, with a mean excess return of -2.24%. A coin flip scores about 50%.
No symbol in our coverage universe has yet reached the detection threshold for the Ascending Triangle Break.
How has this setup performed historically?
| Window | Occurrences | Win rate vs SPY | Mean excess return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days | 24 | 46% | -1.94% |
| 20 days | 22 | 32% | -2.24% |
| 60 days | 18 | 28% | -4.91% |
20-day figures: 22 settled signals detected from 2026-04-10, scored through 2026-10-22; 3 more still inside the window. Every one is listed in the track record.
Win rate = share of occurrences where the stock beat SPY over the window in the direction the signal predicted — for a bearish setup, a win means it underperformed. Measured on our own detections, which puts the coin-flip line at 50%. Sample sizes are small; treat these as context, not as an edge.
US stocks that have formed the Ascending Triangle Break most often
Counts are past detections by our scanner, not signals firing today. Follow a symbol through to its own page for the current reading.
We have not recorded enough Ascending Triangle Break detections yet to list symbols here.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the success rate of the Ascending Triangle Break pattern?
- Across 22 scored detections, the Ascending Triangle Break moved the way it predicts relative to SPY 32% of the time over the next 20 trading days, with a mean excess return of -2.24%. A coin flip scores about 50%.
Further reading
Other patterns
Pattern Vista is a technical-analysis research tool. Everything on this page is automated pattern detection and historical statistics published for educational purposes. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and past performance does not indicate future results. Full disclaimer